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2005 May - Exit decisions impaired. Wait 4 more years for spike. Take 200% profit. Bet little to stay in for 6 months.More sexy Aikido moves learned while working in Spain waiting for Yaya

Shorted EXM - Bought NTES CTSH MSFT NITE

I will wait 4 years for my favorite sexy stocks to walk back my way before I super snap it up like a true David Bailey.

I myself feel lost again. I should be doing something about the sunchild program. I may find a hospital or charity for children in Madrid to appease my need to give. I should have bought today $100,000 worth of shares in RIMM or EXM. I will do it Monday afternoon instead. I should be calling Yaya my soul mate everyday but I am afraid to become lonely hearing her voice. I feel I am not good for her and her mental state. I need to put buy limits on RIMM and EXM and Yahoo.

I feel I will lose Yaya and her magical companionship. I fear I will be yet another boyfriend left in another country feeling sorry for himself, just like the one she left in Chile.

Nasdaq dropped one percent yesterday but my portfolio has gone up twenty per cent thank to a long gamble position I put on a 100 % leverage $233000 bet on EXM at 21 dollars on Sunday night last.
If it goes down then I am going to be in debt to the brokerage for thirty thousand dollars.

Wednesday morning I am losing thousands. Early in the morning I get a message on my mobile from my brokerage. It is an urgent margin call. This means I have to put more money into my account or risk having all my shares sold at or loss. I put my hand on my crown chakra, the business chakra, to give myself some auto Reiki therapy. It helps me to see that all my reasons for making the position have been sound business ones. They are due to patience and serious study. These make me believe in a rising market and are an indicator saying that my stock has reached a possible turning point in its chart that has good possibilities of large gains. I decide not to panic and cover the shortfall in my account by selling ten percent of my heavily marginalised position. My shares lose three per cent today after being up five. That is 7000 dollars I have let slip by my fingers not selling them first thing this morning. Do I know what I am doing, am I going to make money or just let it all slip by. Sell sell sell or hold hold hold. Remember the direction of the market and of the stock tonight.

Close your eyes, bow your head and taste the coffee today.

But I do need to settle down in one place for at least four months. Will it be Caracas for four months, La Manga for four months, Tenerife for four months or Madrid for four months.

I am out of my position in EXM (no longer list in 2019) and mad as hell because EXM is now a dollar higher than when I was sold out. So I am three thousand five hundred dollars less rich today and I feel pissed off. I was taught to hang in when a share is winning and get out if it is not. I am out. But if I had hung in I would still be richer today. I won't make that mistake again. If I make a fifty percent profit in a week or 200% in 12 months, I am getting out next time and taking a holiday.

Over the next 12 months EXM almost triples by 250%. I would have had a portfolio of 750000. Paying back 100000 would have meant a profit of 55000.
After that it fell way back down to 10 after that from 2006 to 2010.

It's absurd but I got out of INSP because of it been a losing bet. But I liked its business potential and foray into mobile downloads. I never considered reinvesting and supporting the business model even though  I thought I might hang in there until 38 dollars when I would get out. But since I got out at 40 eight I should have just turned it around and promised myself an all in leveraged bet at thirty eight. But I turned my back on it thinking myself lucky to get out and today it jumped from thirty eight dollar to forty six. There are so many golden opportunities if you have a good defense matched by a an even better  balls of steel offense. If I could have another opportunity to take a big profit I would move to Venezuela for the rest of the winter and put up with the prison like mentality of surviving there and all the noise because I would be with my life companion Yaya.

I can't believe it. Yesterday I was dumped out of my huge position in EXM. And today it has shot up ten percent. My defensive cover has cost me thousands. What a lousy defense My original defense was ten per cent but I changed it to zero loss. Aikido trading is a dangerous game.

I have made an Aikido bet on Microsoft today because I notice it is charging a fortune to mobile phone providers for sending alerts to mobile phones. They will make hundreds of millions with this scam.

I am feeling super itchy. I will bet the house on NTES if it goes to 38, SINA if it goes to 25 RIMM if it goes to 67 and INSP if it goes to 40. It is dangerous time because VRSN just dropped 20 percent today and I am glad I did not bet the house on that one. Maybe its best to bet only half the house before earnings release and the other half after.

I am afraid I am going to be down thousands by the end of today. I have bought 1500 shares @12.8 in NTES a Chinese net stock. (went up  50% over next 6 months and never fell back. Hit a low of 18 in jan 2009 and shot up from there to 324 in 2018. (Hold just enough of volatile ones for 6 months so as not to be shook out of their 18 month trajectory). But if Sina's results from yesterday were bad then I am at risk of losing loads. It is the risk I have chosen to take today because I know the direction of the indices for the next two years and I have bought on a six week correction. Fingers crossed you crazy gambling bastard.
Sina nose dives on news that their revenue will be cut in the future because of the Chinese government banning all text messages to mobile phones. But they had record forth quarter profit. Despite this they loss thirty per cent in the morning to recover being down only fifteen per cent at the end of the day.

My shares in NITE dived too but recovered to where I bought them at. Tomorrow I will sell them if they do not get off to a hot start.

I sold them. Just in time because by the end of the day they were down five per cent. I am gutted my favorite international stock of the last year is CTSH cognizant. I was so worried about not losing in NTES I didn't buy any Cognizant. They had their results revealed today. They reported profits up seventy five percent. Their shares have shot from 37.5 to 46 in two days. Stay away from Chinese and US Internet stocks. They are too volatile.

Jesus I don´t know whether to do nothing tomorrow on the stock market or go all in. I want to bet on NTES and CTSH but I am scared after seeing amazon tank twenty percent last week after weak results. What if that happens to NTES or CTSH, I will be down at least eight thousand dollars and sixteen if I use leverage. If I don´t I will probably miss my last opportunity for a a big profit this quarter. Should I wait for another three months or gamble. If I am wrong I will wait a month and then get out like I should have done with EXM which shot through the roof when it hit my stop loss cover a week after buy in it. Oh if I could benefit from a good bet then I could justify visiting Yaya and renting a place in Caracas for the next few months. I could also think about Australia next year for the winter or Thailand or Venezuela every year after that for the winter.

Well here I go again. If I had stayed with NTES it would have never have fallen more than ten per cent since I sold it. Also if I had bought it at 38 like I originally specified in my analysis two months ago I would be six thousand up now. However if and buts don't make money. My studies have told me that Yahoo is ready for a correction on the upside and I have gone all in plus fifty per cent more with a loan from Ameritrade. Ten per cent is my short indicator that the market is no longer a bull one. Meaning it will be easier to make money shorting weak stocks than buying leaders. RIMM and INSP is about to hit another buy spot for me, so if Yahoo doesn't bounce then I will switch to one of them like a shot.

I am pissed off with the stock YAHOO. I have invested every cent I have in it and more. After one week it has not gone up. It went down but did not burst out of the stable like it should when a good stock does after doubling its earnings the previous year and now reaches its two hundred day moving average. It is not as if the NASDAQ is doing poorly either. It has gone up two per cent in the last week. Move you son of bitch, move up or I will sell you on Monday.
The real reason I say that is not only because my investment is up only one per cent after one week, but also because the long term bullish euphoria I felt six months ago is now nowhere nearly as strong. I was certain of a six month bull run and positive about a two year bull run. But the January and February feebleness of the NASDAQ has turned me to neutral if not negative over the next two years. My six month bull run has produced a fifteen per cent rise when I expected a twenty five to fifty rise. That is the first warning ringing in my ears.

I feel lost and out of my depth with the stock market. I don't feel a pull in any direction long term or short term. (*Correct * Markets did not spike until 2009) That is why I have only ten per cent of my portfolio invested and that is losing money. I ought to get a laptop and run my weekly comparative analysis over the history of the Dow to see if it gives me a strong hint of long term direction before the next quarterly report. However I am still slightly up for the year of 2005. Three per cent.

Which top stock is heading for their 4th dip in 4 months? I feel these are ready for reverse to the mean throws up, SYMC, INSP and IACI.(all do not exist in 2019) They are touching their 50 day or 200 day moving averages. I will invest 150% of my portfolio for four weeks, the second week in May and then short the same stock 100% or a weak stock that is hitting its 50d or 200d moving average.

I am about to be a lot poorer. I invest 150 per cent of my portfolio in SYMC last week using my usual carefulness not to buy it too high. But already it is seven per cent lower. (still at same price in 2019 as in 2005) If it reaches ten per cent then I will cover with a stop. That stop signifies the maximum I am prepared to lose if I completely misguess the market. If I do then I will slowly start to short the market for six months.

SYMC is not getting out of jail as quickly as I hoped. I am feeling less confident about saving my bacon on this one. A week has gone by and it is still hovering 75 cents above my cover call. There has got to be a less riskier way to to lose 8000 dollars. I don't like the fact that I am in four shares and losing in all of them. I normally only concentrate on one. But somehow my strategy has taken into diversification. They say this limits risk but I do not know everyday how much I am actually down without logging in to my account. That means I have to put in a cover stop on four shares. Even if I cover SYMC automatically I will still have three shares still open to the downside. They will represent seventy per cent of my portfolio and still a major risk to more large losses.

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