2015 - May - Changed from Passive Long Bonds to Global Equities. Euro v USD down 35% May 2014 - May 2015
This week, May 2015, I have put in an order to move almost half of my net worth out of Passive Long Euro Bonds into 50-50 Global Equities. This is 80% my pension funds.
If it increases 5% over the next five months I will double it up. If it decreases by the same I will look for another vehicle for my next two to five year strategy.
Or move it to cash if a black swan seems imminent.
Europeans Dax shared tanked over 10 months actually from April 2015(eurobond reached its low bounced for 2 months then retraced lower a lot) to Feb to 2016 by 35%.
Nasdaq only went down 8% in the same period.
I have also with 10% of my net worth triple-shorted the Financial Stocks Index for the last three months purchazing FAZ. But this fund is down 7% since mid February. I am ready to pull the plug on them and go the other way within the next two weeks. I lost 5% on QID over two months which is a triple short ETF on the Nasdaq.
It is time to move all my pension contributions into one fund.
And as much of my net worth into only sterling or dollars.
The euro is down 20% in one year. So it is not a good idea to holiday outside of Europe at all. Wait for QE to be reversed worldwide and inflation to rise to see euro become stronger and recover by seeing if EURUSD bounces back 30% to 130 as it has done over the last 10 years when it as dropped 40%.
2.5 years later EURUSD recovered to 125 from a low of 105 in Dec 2016(1.5 years later) but now Dec 2018 at 113.
Euro v USD down 35% May 2014 - May 2015 = 12 months
Dax up 35% Oct 2014 - April 2015 = 6 months
eur usd 5y
dax 5y
Or move it to cash if a black swan seems imminent.
Europeans Dax shared tanked over 10 months actually from April 2015(eurobond reached its low bounced for 2 months then retraced lower a lot) to Feb to 2016 by 35%.
Nasdaq only went down 8% in the same period.
I have also with 10% of my net worth triple-shorted the Financial Stocks Index for the last three months purchazing FAZ. But this fund is down 7% since mid February. I am ready to pull the plug on them and go the other way within the next two weeks. I lost 5% on QID over two months which is a triple short ETF on the Nasdaq.
It is time to move all my pension contributions into one fund.
And as much of my net worth into only sterling or dollars.
The euro is down 20% in one year. So it is not a good idea to holiday outside of Europe at all. Wait for QE to be reversed worldwide and inflation to rise to see euro become stronger and recover by seeing if EURUSD bounces back 30% to 130 as it has done over the last 10 years when it as dropped 40%.
2.5 years later EURUSD recovered to 125 from a low of 105 in Dec 2016(1.5 years later) but now Dec 2018 at 113.
Euro v USD down 35% May 2014 - May 2015 = 12 months
Dax up 35% Oct 2014 - April 2015 = 6 months
eur usd 5y
dax 5y
Comments