2015 Oct to Jan 2016 then to July 2017 Covering big movie short was good when falsified. Trading big tween lines and shorting is very costly over 18m.

Why was I not more positive and did not bet on growth and inflated stocks spiked by easy cheap credit and devalued currencies?

Should I change and trade QQQS QQQ between the M200 lines or not that is the question

In October 2015........... I betted on QQQS,  a triple ETF short on the Nasdaq and two months later I was on holidays waiting for my Haitian lover to arrive at my place in Santo Domingo, and I got really scared I was on the wrong side of the bet. From the balcony I pressed the button to sell all and save myself from an embarassing jump to the upside in the Nasdaq. One week later it started to severly drop not rise, it dropped and dropped and dropped and I did nothing even though I was a lover of shorting it.

I would have gained thirty thousand in a month if I had not given into my fear of being stabbed like a knife in the back by long black swan upside swinging. But when it reached below the low end of the 200 moving average, my fear came through, and it rose sharply so I betted on QQQS again. I got out when the Nasdaq reversed to the upward side after another 10% fall.. I made a 10% cent profit but was sure that I should short the Nasdaq again with QQQS as it had closed below the 200 moving average which Ray Dalio said was the reason he better on a crash in 2008. Luckily I did not do that as It rose from the end of January 2016 and 17 months has not stopped rising.

 If I had done the opposite of Ray Dalio and rose it up I would have a 100%. profit by now That would be a true Aikido strategy fighting way of the Investor but I keep thinking I have to have a different strategy to my old one. One where I only bet big if I am sure the direction is long term rather than short term, otherwise I am just punting my money away according to the survivors. But nobody knows if it is long term. Only the swarm. What to do, what to do? if I traded between the lines rather than betting on the swarm breaking the lines I would be great to go and my portfolio up by 60% in 6 months  end of Feb 2016 rather than 5% up currently.

J

March 2016

I am now 50% shorting FTSE. I am 15% down on QQQS and 30% down on FTSE short. I have to get a better Aikido strategy that is congruent with my positive view of interconnected spaciousness of everything rather than maintain my obsessive negative desire on the direction of the markets and world economies for the last 18 months and the following 18 months. If I am such a positive person then I should be always a bit more supporting of world growth and development and assume the best in everyone, in every government and every company rather than itching to super bet 70% of my savings and power on them lying,  failing or crashing.

MAY 2016 

I am still 50% in QQQS since end of March and now FTSE short since 25 June

June 2017 

I gambled on scared and failing economies again and gambled 25% of my freedom fund on USD gold as a new safe haven. Both of which fell and I loss 5% in that bet.

18 months later and all indexes have been going up. 

They have been remained above  the 2016 M200 top since July 2016.

In hindsight. Trading between the lines was not the best.
Nor as a strategy discouting shorting every 3m.

Buying indexes and riding the long asset inflationary bubble and credit expansions for the last 18 months in UK Japanese and US indices was a better move.

Bond highs stopped Dec 2016 when US interest rates start to rise. Yield curve starting slight to flatten out.

July 2017. 

I should have followed my March 2016 hunch to long on politicians and growth. My FTSE 3x short is now down 55% instead of 30% as it was 15 months ago. And now I have added 12% of my freedom fund to that short after a year of watching it lose. Why? My ego and 5 year chart for it tells me the trend has bottomed out and it can and the FTSE can not go any higher over the next 3 months. 

If I am wrong I  will close all 3xFTSEshort with 15% freedom fund loss and go back to fasting swimming laughter and non animal products until October.

But first I will test out my new Think Twice strategy which I should have done before making another super ego movie move like this.